Friday, May 1, 2015

ISRAELI SETTLEMENTS AND INTERNATIONAL CRIMINAL COURT JURISDICTION Eugene Kontorovich*


ISRAELI  SETTLEMENTS  AND  INTERNATIONAL  CRIMINAL COURT JURISDICTION

Eugene Kontorovich*

ABSTRACT
In  the  wake  of  the  U.N.  General  Assembly’s  recent  recognition  of
Palestinian statehood, the Palestinian government has made clear its
intention to accept the jurisdiction of the International Criminal Court
(ICC), where it could challenge the legality of Israeli settlements. This
Article explores the previously unexamined jurisdictional hurdles for such a
case. To focus on the jurisdictional issues, the Article assumes for the sake
of argument the validity on the merits of the legal claims against the
settlements.

First, the ICC can only consider situations “on the territory” of Palestine.
Yet the scope of that territory is undefined. An “occupation” can arise even
in an area that is not the territory of any state - but ICC jurisdiction does
not extend there. Thus even if
Israel is an occupying power throughout the
West Bank for the purposes of substantive humanitarian law, this does not
establish that settlement activity occurs “on the territory” of Palestine.
Moreover, the ICC lacks the power to determine the boundaries of states,
and certainly of non-member states. Moreover, the Oslo Accords give
Israel
exclusive criminal jurisdiction over Israelis in the West Bank. Palestine
cannot delegate to the ICC territorial jurisdiction that it does not possess.

Second,  the  ICC  only  takes  situations  of  particular         “gravity.”  Yet
settlements are not a      “grave breach” of the Geneva Conventions. No
international criminal tribunal has ever prosecuted non-grave breaches. The ICC’s gravity measure involves the number of people killed; for settlements it would be zero. Indeed, the ICC prosecutor triages situations by the numbers of victims; settlements do not appear to have direct individual victims. Finally, the ICC would at most only have jurisdiction over  settlement  activity  from  the  date  of  Palestine’s  acceptance  of jurisdiction. Settlement activity in this time frame would not immediately cross the Court’s gravity threshold.

The impact of these issues goes beyond a possible settlements case. The
controversy over a referral of Israel, a non-member state, raises important


* Professor, Northwestern University School of Law. The author would like to thank Kevin Jon Heller for generous comments.







2                                    SETTLEMENTS IN THE ICC                  [22-May-13
questions  about  the  meaning  of  the  ICC  Statute.  These  have  great importance for other non-member states, such as the United States. They also demonstrate the extent to which major aspects of the ICC Statute remain vague and undefined.

TABLE OF CONTENTS

ABSTRACT ......................................................................................... ..1
INTRODUCTION ................................................................................ .2
I. DETERMINING THE “TERRITORY” OF PALESTINE .......... ...7
A. THE ILLEGALITY OF SETTLEMENTS AND THE QUESTION OF BORDERS
..9
B. GA & ICJ HAVE NOT DETERMINED PALESTINES BORDERS .......... .10
C. OSLO ACCORDS AND DELEGATED JURISDICTION ........................... .12
1.  Exclusive Israeli Territorial Jurisdiction ............................... ..1 3
2.  Exclusive Israel Nationality Jurisdiction & Art. 98 Agreements
14
D. MONETARY GOLD PRINCIPLE ...................................................... ...1 5
E. LINE-DRAWING.............................................................................. .16
1.  No-man’s Land. .................................................................... ...1 7
2.  West Jerusalem & Mt. Scopus. ................................................ .18
3.  Western Jerusalem. ............................................................... ...1 9
II. GRAVITY & SEVERITY ............................................................. ..2 0
A. THE PROSECUTORS QUANTITATIVE TEST .................................... ..2 1
B. VICTIMLESS CRIME? .................................................................... ..2 4
C. GRAVITY ELSEWHERE IN THE STATUTE ....................................... ...2 5
1.  Grave breaches. .................................................................... ...2 6
2.  Sentences ............................................................................... ...2 6
D. THE PARADOX OF GRAVITY ......................................................... ..2 7
E. RELATIVE GRAVITY ..................................................................... ...2 8
III. THE TEMPORALITY OF PALESTINE ................................... ..3 0


INTRODUCTION
The United Nations General Assembly, in a closely-watched vote on
Nov. 29, 2012, recognized Palestine as a full-fledged state by granting it
“non-member observer” status.1 Aside from the symbolic significance of


1  U.N. Doc. A/RES/67/19. Only the Holy See currently shares the status, though in the







22-May-13]                                                                                                     3
the move, it was widely understood that the principal practical significance
is  to  facilitate  Palestinian  efforts  to  bring  Israeli  actions  before  the
International Criminal Court (“ICC”). Indeed, several powerful Security
Council members that did not support the resolution but were sympathetic
to it offered to vote in favor if the Palestinians promised not to turn to the
ICC.2 In the wake of the resolution’s passage, commentary and media
coverage focused on the new possibility of an ICC case involving Israeli
military campaigns against terrorists in Gaza, and even more significantly,
the entire existence of Jewish settlements in the West Bank, which many
have long regarded as violating law of war treaties.3
In  the  months  after  the  statehood  resolution,  Palestinian  leaders, including  the  President,  Mahmoud  Abbas,  and  the  foreign  minister, repeatedly stated their intention to “go to the ICC” over continued Israeli settlement construction. These threats received further momentum from a report of the U.N. Human Rights Council, which suggested the possibility of ICC jurisdiction over the settlements issue.4
This Article shows that there are several fundamental jurisdictional
obstacles to such a suit. This Article explores these limitations as well as
their implications for other countries and potential suits. In the course of
this analysis, it considers novel problems of territorial jurisdiction, temporal
jurisdiction, gravity requirements and the rights of non-member states. ICC
jurisdiction over Israel is sure to remain a burning legal and diplomatic
issue in the coming years, and if Palestine triggers ICC proceedings, it will
be perhaps the most significant ICC case to date, and one of the first
involving a non-member state. This Article is the first scholarly inquiry into
the newly recognized Palestinian state’s ability to secure ICC jurisdiction
over Israel.5 Finally, while this Article does not explore the inherently

past a number of other nations, such as Switzerland and Spain have had it.
2 See Chris McGreal, Palestinians warn: back UN statehood bid or risk boosting
Hamas, THE GUARDIAN (Nov. 27, 2013), available at (mentioning the U.S., U.K., and
France as among nations wanting to link an affirmative vote to promises of avoiding the
ICC).
3 See, e.g., George Bishart, Why Palestine Should Take Israel to Court in The Hague,
N.Y. TIMES (Jan. 29, 2013); Aeyal Gross, Following UN vote on Palestine, Israel may now
find itself at The Hague, Haaretz (Dec. 2, 2012); Christine Hauser, New U.N. Status for
Palestinians Could Open Door for Claims of Israeli War Crimes, N.Y. TIMES A8 (Nov. 30,
2012).
4 Human Rights Council, Report of the independent international factfinding mission
to  investigate  the  implications of  the  Israeli  settlements,  par.         17,   104,  U.N.  Doc.
A/HRC/22/63 (Feb. 7, 2103).
5 Before the GA vote, scholars had written about ICC jurisdiction over Israel/Palestine
situation, but focused their attention on whether Palestine was a “state” for ICC purposes,
which was clearly the most glaring obstacle to admissibility. As a result, the significant
admissibility problems examined here did not receive attention. See, e.g., Malcolm N.







4                                    SETTLEMENTS IN THE ICC                  [22-May-13
discretionary power of the Prosecutor to not proceed when an investigation
“would not serve the interests of justice,” it is worth noting that this
provision  was  specifically  intended  to  protect  peace  and  transition
agreements of which the Oslo Accords is a paradigmatic example.6
The jurisdictional issues raises here have a more general significance.
They illustrate how many crucial aspects of the Court’s power are left
unexplained by the Statute, and have not been determined by subsequent
practice. Because most ICC situations thus far have been self-referrals or
Security Council referrals - which do not pit one nation against another -
many major jurisdictional issues, such as those discussed in this Article,
remain fundamentally questions of first impression. In other words, the
issues raised by a potential Palestinian highlight the numerous gaps,
loopholes and unclear expressions in the Rome Statute. This Article
identifies and analyzes numerous novel but broadly significant issues raised
by a potential Palestinian referral: thus the discussion here will help inform
analysis of ICC jurisdiction in broad range of other cases, including those
against the nationals of another non-member state  - the U.S.
Some background helps explain the Palestinian government’s resort to the General Assembly, and the general understanding of its significance. Israel has never ratified the Rome Statute of ICC. In January 2009, in the wake of a Palestinian-Israel war in Gaza, the Palestinian Justice Minister submitted a Declaration to the ICC accepting the jurisdiction of the ICC under Art. 12(3), which permits non-member nations to give the ICC jurisdiction over particular situations on an ad-hoc basis.7
After long consideration, the Prosecutor in April 2012 announced that
he would not proceed with an investigation. He concluded that under the
Rome Statute only “States” can accept jurisdiction. In determining what
entities  qualify  as “States,”  the  Prosecutor  would  be  guided  by
determinations of the General Assembly, which did not treat Palestine as a
state.8 While at first this seemed a setback for the Palestinians, it also

Shaw, The Article      12(3) Declaration of the Palestinian Authority, the International
Criminal Court and International Law, 9 J. INTL. CRIM. JUST. 301 (2011); William Thomas Worster, The Exercise Of Jurisdiction by the International Criminal Court Over Palestine 26 AM. U. INTL L. REV. (2011); Daniel Benoliel & Ronen Perry, Israel, Palestine, and the ICC, 32 MICH. J. INT'L L. 73 (2010),
6 See Art. 53(1)(c). If the “interests of justice” could defer investigation due to purely
internal  truth  commissions  and  amnesties,  it  stands  to  reason  that  negotiated  and
internationally-approved  ones  like  the  Oslo  Accords  would  enjoy  an  even  greater
presumption of deference. See generally, Daryl Robinson, Serving the Interests of Justice:
Amnesties,
Truth Commissions and the International Criminal Court, 13 EURO. J. INTL L.
481 (2003).
7 Sung Un Kim, ICC lacks jurisdiction to investigate Palestine war crimes claims: prosecutor, JURIST (April 3, 3012).
8         The   Situation   in   Palestine,   par.                5-8,   available   at   http://www.icc-







22-May-13]                                                                                                     5
offered an opportunity. It suggested that the Office of the Prosecutor (OTP)
would not look to objective indicia of statehood, such as the Montevideo
Convention factors, but rather accept as binding the political determinations
of the G.A. The reasoning of the OTP was at first seen as a setback to
Palestinian efforts to gain access to international justice mechanisms. But
on closer examination, it was thought to offer an opportunity: if the GA
would recognize Palestine, the Prosecutor could feel free to act, despite
Palestine’s not being a member of the U.N. and arguably not fitting certain
traditional statehood criteria.
Having prevailed at the G.A., the newly renamed “State of Palestine”
has yet to join the ICC or make a new 12(3) declaration, but its leaders and
other supporters now constantly threaten such action. Yet even if
Palestine
is a State, such an ICC case still faces multiple jurisdictional bars. The ICC
is a court of limited jurisdiction, designed to handle only a very few of
world’s worst crimes, under specific jurisdictional criteria. Indeed, to date
the ICC in its 13 years of operation has convicted only one person,
completed two cases, and has proceeded with investigations in eight other
situations.
Moreover the Court has a new Prosecutor, who is not bound by her
predecessor’s policy of looking to the G.A. for statehood determinations.
Statehood is undefined in the Statute, and the new prosecutor is free to look
to make an independent determination based on Montevideo or other
criteria, defer to the Security Council, or take some other approach. This
Article will assume, arguendo, that the G.A. vote will be enough to
overcome the “state” hurdle to jurisdiction. Moreover, because it focuses
solely on new jurisdictional obstacles to an ICC case, it also takes for
granted, again arguendo, the validity of the merits arguments against
Israel’s settlements. The point under investigation here is not whether or not
the  settlements  constitute  crimes  within  the  Rome  Statute (or  other
international instruments), but rather whether the Statute gives the Court jurisdiction over such crimes under the circumstances. Needless to say, this Article takes no position on the broader propriety of the settlements or the parameters for any diplomatic solution.
Part I explains that because Palestine does not have defined borders, the
settlements are not “on the territory” of Palestine as required by Art. 12.
Moreover, Palestine has given Israel exclusive criminal jurisdiction over the
settlements, which would preclude ICC action under Art. 98. Finally, this
part will discuss why the ICC, a court of individual criminal jurisdiction,
lacks the competence to determine sovereign borders, especially of non-
member states. Part II deals with the jurisdictional requirement of gravity.

cpi.int/NR/rdonlyres/C6162BBF-FEB9-4FAF-AFA9-
836106D2694A/284387/SituationinPalestine030412ENG.pdf.







6                                    SETTLEMENTS IN THE ICC                  [22-May-13
Gravity has typically been measured by the number of people killed, with
some reference to other brutalized victims. Never has a crime that does not
involve physical violence or victims been found to clear the gravity
threshold. Indeed, the Geneva Conventions themselves classify settlement
activity as not grave. Part III   considers the question of when Palestine
became a state. It concludes that if Palestine wanted to invoke the Court’s
jurisdiction, it would have to join or make a new 12(3) declaration; thus the
Court’s jurisdiction would at most extend only to settlement activity from
that point, leaving untouched the nearly 600,000 existing settlers and their
communities.  Thus  the  ICC  would  be  in  the  difficult  position  of
distinguishing new settlement activity from old, and wrestling with thorny
questions like “natural growth.”

Before proceeding, a few words should be said about the scope of the
inquiry - and the likely scope of an ICC investigation. This Article focuses
on the jurisdictional issues raised by a Palestinian referral concerning
settlements in the West Bank. These are widely regarded as violating Art.
8(2) (b)(viii) of the Rome Statute, which prohibits “the transfer, directly or
indirectly, by the Occupying Power of parts of its own civilian population
into the territory it occupies.” Some have mentioned the possibility of a
referral  or declaration  concerning  more  classic war crimes involving
military forces (disproportionate force, for example) of the kind dealt with
by the Goldstone Commission. At first, this might seem like a safer course.
Such  cases  have  been  repeatedly  tried  in  international  and  national
tribunals, and have a well-established jurisprudence. But the rule against
“deporting or transferring” one’s civilian population into occupied territory
would be a case of first impression, and thus pose potentially daunting
obstacles.
Yet this Article focuses on jurisdiction over settlements because it is in
fact the far more likely and attractive legal avenue for Palestine to pursue.
Firstly, settlements, unlike use of force crimes, is an issue that is not
bilateral. More typical jus in bello issues leave open the possibility of
criminal  charges  against  Palestinian  leaders  for  attacks  on  civilian
populations. Only Israel is engaged in potentially committing the “deport or
transfer” crime. Second, the ICC only has jurisdiction when the home state
is “unwilling” to investigate the crime. The Palestinians may believe that
Israel would be less likely to investigate allegations of “indirect… transfer”
than other war crimes.9
A settlement-focused referral could still draw Palestinian crimes into the

9 It bears noting that Israel courts have heard cases involving settlement growth and construction, often imposing limits derived from international humanitarian law. It has not, however, engaged in criminal prosecutions in this regard.







22-May-13]                                                                                                     7
inquiry. This is because states only refer “situations” to the ICC, not cases
or even crimes. A “situation” refers to the broader geopolitical context of a
crime,10 Countries cannot engage in claim splitting, referring the alleged
crimes of their enemies and not their own. While scope of a “situation” is
not precisely defined in the statute or the Court’s practice. The “situation”
could be understood to include the broader conflict between
Israel and the
Palestinians, of which settlements are but part - and Palestinian violence is
another part. Even focusing more narrowly on settlements, many were
established for security reasons, to act as a buffer against attacks on Israeli
civilians.11  Indeed,  the  International  Court  of  Justice  discussed  the
prevention of attacks from the West Bank as a potential justification for
Israel’s construction of the security wall.12

I. DETERMINING THE “TERRITORY OF PALESTINE
The International Criminal Court operates primarily on the principle of
delegated jurisdiction, not universal jurisdiction.13 Its jurisdiction depends
on the consent of states, and thus it can only prosecute crimes that occur in
the territory of consenting states, or were committed by their nationals.
Thus far, the territorial and nationality jurisdiction has coincided: the ICC
has only pursued investigations in situations involving crimes on the
territory of member states when the alleged perpetrators are themselves
nationals of the member state. The most controversial aspect of the ICC’s
jurisdiction has always been its application to nationals of non-member
states for conduct on the territory of member states.14 Yet such jurisdiction
is consistent with national sovereignty because the member state itself has
jurisdiction under traditional territorial principles over the non-member

10 See GIDEON BOAS, ET AL., INTERNATIONAL CRIMINAL LAW PRACTITIONER LIBRARY: INTERNATIONAL  CRIMINAL  PROCEDURE  68 (2011). A “crime” by contrast refers to violations of a particular substantive norm specified in Art. 5, while a “case” refers to charges of one or more crimes against a specific individual. Id.
11 Indeed, it may be that those settlements in which the government had a noticeable
role in “organizing and encouraging” are those with a security rationale, as opposed to
relatively remote “ideological”  settlements,  or  close  to  Green  Line  non-ideological
settlements to which people moved because of typical demographic and economic factors
that promote population migration.
12
Legal Consequences of the Construction of a Wall in the Occupied Palestinian
Territory, 2004 I.C.J. 136, par. 139-142 (2004). While the court denied the self-defense
claims on the grounds that the attacks did not come from foreign territory, it did find the self-defense issue relevant to Israel’s actions.
13 Dapo Akande, The Jurisdiction of the International Criminal Court over Nationals
of Non-Parties: Legal Basis and Limits, 1 J. INTL CRIM. J. 618, 621-34 (2003)
14 Id. at      619-21    (describing American objections to jurisdiction over non-party
nationals).






8                                    SETTLEMENTS IN THE ICC                  [22-May-13
nationals; it can thus delegate its own jurisdiction to an international tribunal.

This poses an important, if novel, jurisdictional bar to a Palestinian
referral focused on settlements. Under Art. 12 of the Statute, the ICC could
only have jurisdiction  over Israel for conduct that occurred “on the
territory” of the State of Palestine.15 Thus exercising jurisdiction requires first determining Palestine’s territory. The Rome Statute presumes defined, accepted international boundaries (most boundary disputes are quite minor and  have  thus  far  been  irrelevant  to  the  crimes  within  the  ICC’s jurisdiction). When these assumptions are not satisfied, the Statute provides no guidance for dealing with interstitial “gray areas.”16

The “territory” of Palestine is not at all established.17 Similarly, Israel
lacks defined borders. In short, the borders of any state or states that have
arisen in the territory of the League of Nations Mandate for Palestine
remain entirely undefined. Accepting a Palestinian referral would make the
scope of the ICC’s jurisdiction always indeterminate - non-member nations
would be vulnerable to ICC suits simply by neighbors convincing the Court
that a certain territory is theirs. Such action would also greatly discourage
membership by nations with disputed frontiers. Territorial jurisdiction was
envisioned as useful for self-referrals of the kind the ICC has dealt with so
far, and clear aggression and invasion of previously recognized sovereign
frontiers. The ICC has not been understood as a border-determination body;
defining the territory of nations has never been part of the work of past
international  criminal  tribunals.18  The  border  demarcation  role  more
naturally falls to the International Court of Justice, and even then only when
both parties consent to jurisdiction.

The lack of any clear borders for Palestine may surprise many casual
observers, given the General Assembly’s recognition of a Palestinian state
and the widespread condemnation of Israeli civilian presence in the West
Bank
as illegal. But as this Part will demonstrate, neither the GA resolution
nor the alleged illegality of settlements - assumed to be correct for the
purposes of this jurisdictional inquiry - bear on the separate question of

15 Art. 12(2)(a).
16 See SCHABAS, INTRODUCTION at 82.
17
See id. at 88 (“the actual limits of the territory of Palestine are also a matter of
dispute”); David Luban, Submitting to the Law of Nations: Palestine, Israel, and the
International Criminal Court, BOSTON REV. (Dec. 12, 3012) (“The ICC is a specialpurpose criminal court, and it would be astounding for it to get out in front of the UN’s own court on a fundamental question about the map of the world.”)
18 SCHABAS, INTRODUCTION at 82.







22-May-13]                                                                                                     9
Palestine’s (and Israel’s) sovereign borders.

A.  The Illegality of Settlements and the Question of Borders

The jurisdictional question of borders cannot be resolved by previewing
the substantive legality of settlements. The origin of the “settlements” norm
is Art. 49(6) of the Fourth Geneva Convention, which provides that the
“occupying power shall not deport or transfer parts of its own civilian
population into the territory it occupies.” In the drafting of the Rome
Statute, the Arab states successfully proposed modifying the Geneva
language to “directly or indirectly deport or transfer.” The inclusion of this
language was thought to specifically target Israel’s settlements, and was the
reason it did not join the treaty.

For “transfer” to be a crime, the relevant territory must be occupied. Israel has long argued that the underlying Geneva Convention provisions regarding occupation are limited to the “occupation of the territory of a High Contracting Party.”19 The West Bank was not Jordanian sovereign territory when Israel took it in 1967. Because the territory did not belong to a High Contracting Party when occupied, the argument goes, the rules regarding occupation do not apply.
Yet majority of international lawyers reject this argument, concluding
that the Conventions’ protections are intended to have broader scope, and
apply (at least) to all wars between member states. However, such a
conclusion does nothing to establish the “territory” of a Palestinian state.
The central difficulty for ICC jurisdiction is that the mere fact of Israeli
occupation does not mean the territory falls under Palestinian sovereignty.
The  dominant  interpretation  of  the  Geneva  Conventions  is  that  an
“occupation” can arise even in an area that is not the territory of any
state.    Thus even if Israel is an occupying power throughout the West Bank
for the purposes of substantive humanitarian law, this does not establish that
settlement activity occurs “on the territory” of the Palestinian state.
To put it differently, while violations of the anti-transfer norm may not
need to take place in the territory of a state to constitute a violation, they
still must be “on the territory” of a state for the ICC to have jurisdiction.
This is because the ICC is not a court of general or global jurisdiction; its
jurisdiction does not extend to all violations of humanitarian law anywhere
in the world. This is consistent with the respective roles of the
Geneva


19 IV Geneva Convention Relative to the Protection of Civilians Art. 2, par. 2 (1949).







10                                  SETTLEMENTS IN THE ICC                  [22-May-13
Conventions and the ICC. The Geneva Conventions, which have near
universal adherence, are interpreted broadly because of a desire to not have
gaps in coverage. With the ICC, which has a limited and particular
jurisdiction, gaps in jurisdictional coverage are purposeful and inherent.20
The lack of clear territorial jurisdiction would be particularly troubling
because the underlying crime is not one of universal jurisdiction. Any and
all nations have jurisdiction of universal jurisdiction crimes; no territorial
connection with the offense is needed (though custody of the defendant may
be required). An alternative theory of the ICC’s jurisdiction is that it
exercises  even  delegated  universal  jurisdiction,  not  merely  delegated
territorial jurisdiction.21 This account is not the dominant one, but certainly
to  the  extent  crimes  within  the  Court’s  jurisdiction  are  universally
cognizable,  concerns  about  non-member  nationals  are  somewhat
attenuated.22 Yet not all crimes within the ICC’s charter are universal.23
Perhaps  the  most  salient  exceptions  are  aggression24  and  non-grave
breaches of the Geneva Conventions, of which “transfer” is one. Not only
does the Geneva regime not make “transfer” universally cognizable, there is
no subsequent precedent of universal jurisdiction being applied to the
offense.25

B.  GA & ICJ Have Not Determined Palestine’s Borders

One might think that just as the ICC would not determine statehood by
itself but rather rely on the decisions of other U.N. agencies, it might also
choose to take borders as a factual determination that could be made by the
political branches. Even assuming the dubious validity of this approach,26

20 WILLIAM  A. SCHABAS, AN  INTRODUCTION  TO  THE  INTERNATIONAL  CRIMINAL COURT 82 (2011) (observing in regard to areas without an established sovereign that “some territories are necessarily beyond the reach of the Court,” and jurisdiction could only be secured by the nationality of offender).
21 See Madeline Morris, High Crimes and Misconceptions: The ICC and Non-Party States, 64 LAW & CONTEMP. PROB. 12, 25-26 (2001) (.
22 See Akande, Nationals of Non-Parties, supra, at 626-27.
23 See Morris, supra at 28 & n.72 (using child soldiers as example of ICC crime not subject to UJ).
24 See Akande, Aggresion, at 26.
25 Additional Protocol I to the Geneva Conventions treats an expanded version of the
“transfer” norm as a “grave breach.” Some argue the Optional Protocol has acquired
customary status - despite not being ratified by major powers such as the U.S., India,
Pakistan, Turkey, and of course, Israel - but there is no evident state practice to support
such a custom.
26 The occurrence of conduct on the territory of a member state is a jurisdictional fact and thus one the Court must convince itself of.






22-May-13]                                                                                                   11
neither  of  the  two  prominent          (but  non-legally  binding)  international
statements on Palestinian rights purported to determine borders. Despite their  condemnation  of  Israeli  settlements,  neither  the  GA  resolution acknowledging Palestinian statehood, nor the earlier International Court of Justice  condemnation  of  the  construction  of  Israel’s  security  fence, contained any express or implied borders determinations.

The General Assembly resolution of Nov. 2012 does not answer the
question of Palestine’s borders, and does not even address it. The resolution
merely “decides” to accord Palestine non-member status in the GA; it
decides nothing about borders.27 Even the non-operative provisions are
unclear as to borders. On one hand Par. 1 refers to “Palestinian territory
occupied since 1967.” This appears to be more of a claim about indigenous
rights than a determination of national borders, as there was no Palestinian
state or entity in 1967. On the other hand, Par. 4 expresses hope for the
eventual “achievement” of a “contiguous Palestinian state living side by
side in peace and security with Israel on the basis of the pre-1967 borders,”
suggesting that the Israel-Jordanian armistice line is not the operative or
ultimate border. Moreover, it suggests that the Palestinian state does not yet
have these borders (as it is certainly not contiguous).28 The “on the basis”
language has traditionally referred to adjustments in the 1949 Armistice
Lines to include most  Israeli settlements within Israel’s borders The
Resolution also calls for a diplomatic process to “resolve the outstanding
core issues” such as the fate of “Jerusalem, settlements, borders.”29 This
makes clear that borders are an “outstanding” issue: the Assembly did not
see its resolution as determining any of the territorial questions that must be
central to an ICC investigation of settlements.

Even if the GA resolution did express a view on Palestine’s borders, it is not  binding  or  authoritative.  The  General  Assembly  has  an  internal bureaucratic power to determine its membership. That determination may or may not be the required trigger for “statehood” for ICC purposes - even that is unclear.30 But determining the territory of states goes beyond any recognized powers of the GA.

Similarly,  the  ICJ  opinion  recognized  the  difference  between  the


27 See Status of Palestine in the United Nations, U.N. Doc. A/67/L.28, par. 2 (Nov. 12,
2012
).
28 Id. (emphasis added).
29 Id. at 5.
30 See Dapo Akande, ICC Prosecutor Decides that He Can’t Decide on the Statehood of Palestine. Is He Right?







12                                  SETTLEMENTS IN THE ICC                  [22-May-13
existence of occupation (which does not require the occupied territory to be
sovereign) and borders, which delimit the territories of two separate
sovereigns.31  The  Court  self-consciously  avoided  any  resolution  of
“permanent status” issues such as borders.32 It also made clear that the 1949
Armistice Lines, while in its view triggering the applicability of Geneva
Conventions  and  other  principles,  do  not  constitute  an  international
boundary.33 Indeed, the Court specifically criticized the route of the wall
because  it  could “prejudge  the  future  frontier  between  Israel  and
Palestine.”34 Thus in the view of Court, there was no recognized frontier between the two entities. If the Green Line was the recognized “frontier,” the Wall would not prejudge it, but rather simply infringe on it.

C.  Oslo Accords and Delegated Jurisdiction

The ICC’s jurisdiction over nationals of non-member states is perhaps
the most controversial part of its mission. Not surprisingly, it has yet to
exercise such jurisdiction in a referral by a member state.35 Scholars have
repeatedly noted that the Court’s jurisdiction is not universal, even for
universal crimes. Rather, it is based on a delegation of territorial jurisdiction
by the member state. States certainly have jurisdiction over acts by aliens in
their territory; and they can transfer such jurisdiction to an international
tribunal. As Antonio Cassese puts it, “the Rome Statute authorizes the ICC
to substitute itself for a consenting state, which would thus waive its right to
exercise its criminal jurisdiction.”36 Thus a Palestinian referral would
simply be delegating to the Court some part of the territorial jurisdiction it
enjoyed as sovereign state.
For such delegated jurisdiction to work, i) the member state must
actually have territorial sovereignty over the areas in question, as discussed

31   Legal Consequences of the Construction of a Wall in the Occupied Palestinian
Territory (ICJ 2004).
32 Id., par. 52-54; see also Separate Op. of J. Higgins, par. 17.
33
Thus the Court recognizes that the Mandate created international               “territorial
boundaries,” while the 1949 Armistice Agreement did not. Id. at par. 71-72. The Court’s
repeated references to “Occupied Palestinian Territory”, a term taken from the language of
the G.A. request for an opinion, do not involve any determination that the territory
“belongs” to the Arab population. Rather, it is that portion of Mandatory Palestine that
Israel forcibly occupied in 1967, after ousting the Jordanian occupation. Par. 73.
34 Consequences of Construction, Par. 121 (emphasis added).
35 It has begun a preliminary investigation into Russian actions in Georgia, but has not
yet made definitive admissibility decisions pending the resolution of complementarity
issues.
36  Antonio  Cassese,  The  Statute  of  the  International  Criminal  Court:  Some Preliminary ReÀections, 10 EUR. J. INTL L. 140, 160 (1999).






22-May-13]                                                                                                   13
above, and ii) not have previously delegated or ceded such jurisdiction. In other words, a state cannot delegate what it does not have. The difficulties with the first criterion were discussed in Part I.A. This section will discuss the second problem - a prior inconsistent delegation.
1.  Exclusive Israeli Territorial Jurisdiction

U.N. recognition of the State of Palestine has not abrogated the Oslo
Accords, which both parties continue to treat as binding.37 Under the Oslo
Accords Israel exercises full territorial control of a section of the West Bank
known as Area C. Within Area C, Israel is given, by agreement with the
Palestinian  authority,  complete  criminal  jurisdiction.38  All  Jewish
settlements in the West Bank lie in Area C. Territorial delegated jurisdiction
depends on the nation actually having jurisdiction over the territory. It
would be difficult to conclude that Palestine can delegate jurisdiction over
the settlements when all criminal jurisdiction in this area has already been
assigned  to  Israel  by  Palestinian  agreement  in  the  Oslo  Accords.39
Moreover, the lack of Palestinian jurisdiction over the territory of the
settlements makes it harder to argue that this area currently forms part of the
“territory” of the State of Palestine.40

To be sure, the territorial jurisdiction conferred on the court upon
accession is not limited to areas where the country currently exercises
control, as William Schabas points out in his massive Commentary on the
Court.41 He gives the example of Cyprus, which acceded after the Turkish
invasion: this still gives the ICC jurisdiction over “Northern Cyprus.” But
this only applies to territory that at one point was clearly within the
sovereignty of the acceding state; there is no dispute about Northern

37 Emily L. Hauser, Abbas Threatens To Dismantle PA—Again, (Dec 28, 2012), available
at http://www.thedailybeast.com/articles/2012/12/28/abbas-threatens-to-dismantle-pa-
again.html, Avi Issacharoff,
Palestinians may cancel Oslo Accords with Israel, says top
negotiator,             Haaretz,              (Sept.              18,              2012),               available              at
http://www.haaretz.com/news/diplomacy-defense/palestinians-may-cancel-oslo-accords-
with-israel-says-top-negotiator-1.465491. Similarly, when in the wake of the GA statehood vote Israel temporarily suspended transferring certain tax revenues it collected on behalf of Palestinian authorities, as provide in a supplement to the Oslo accords, the Palestinian authorities denounced it as a violation.
38 GEOFFREY  R. WATSON, THE  OSLO  ACCORDS: INTERNATIONAL  LAW  AND  THE ISRAELI-PALESTINIAN PEACE AGREEMENTS (2000).
39 See Shaw, supra.
40 See Yuval Shany, In Defence of Functional Interpretation of Article 12(3) of the Rome Statute: A Response to Yaël Ronen, 8 J. Int’l Crim. Just. 329, 339-42 (2010).
41 WILLIAM SCHABAS, THE INTERNATIONAL CRIMINAL COURT: A COMMENTARY ON THE ROME STATUTE 285 (2010).







14                                  SETTLEMENTS IN THE ICC                  [22-May-13
Cyprus’s status before the invasion. The territory here was never under the sovereignty of Palestine. Instructively, Schabas gives the Syrian Golan as another example of territory that would fall within ICC jurisdiction if the occupied country accedes - but not the West Bank. This is because when Israel  occupied  the  Golan,  it  was  clearly Syrian  sovereign  territory: adjudicating Israel’s presence in the Golan would not require a border determination.42 The West Bank, on the other hand, was not sovereign Palestinian (nor Jordanian) territory in 1967.

2.  Exclusive Israel Nationality Jurisdiction & Art. 98 Agreements
Along with giving Israel exclusive jurisdiction over criminal issues Area C, under the Oslo Accords, the Palestinian authorities gave Israel exclusive criminal jurisdiction over all Israelis both in the Palestinian-controlled and Israeli-controlled areas of the West Bank.43 The Palestinian government is excluded from all adjudicative jurisdiction over Israelis, and is even limited in its enforcement jurisdiction:

The Palestinian authorities shall not arrest Israelis or place them
in custody. However, when an Israeli commits a crime against a
person                   or                   property                   in                   the
Territory, the Palestinian Police, upon arrival at the scene of the
offense
shall, if necessary, until the arrival of the Israeli military forces,
detain the suspect in place while ensuring his protection and the
protection
of those involved. . . .44
Israel’s exclusive jurisdiction over Israelis in the West Bank, confirmed by
the Oslo Accords, further undermines any notion of delegated jurisdiction.
Moreover,  this  aspect  of  the  Oslo  Accord  is  analogous  to  Art.
98
agreements. Art. 98(2) of the Rome Statute provides that a member state
need not surrender suspects to the ICC when it would conflict with other
international commitments of the sending state. The U.S. has used Art.
98(2)  very  aggressively,  signing  over  one  hundred  such  agreements


42 There was a dispute over the border between Israel and Syria even before 1967, as
Syria had in 1949 occupied a strip of territory on the eastern shore of the Sea of Galilee.
But the civilian presence in the Golan lies in territory that was previously undisputedly
Syrian.
43 Interim Agreement: article XVII.1.a, article XVII.2.c, article XVII.4 (1995).
44 Interim Agreement Annex IV, Art. II(c). See also, Interim Agreement, article XII.1 and Annex IV of the Interim Agreement, article II.7.







22-May-13]                                                                                                   15
specifically contemplating preventing the exercise of ICC jurisdiction over
U.S. nationals. Indeed, Art. 98 has been a staple of the U.S. approach to “living with” the ICC.

The propriety of such Art. 98 agreements is a matter of ongoing dispute. Many commentators argue that Art. 98 applies only to agreements that predate the sending state’s ICC membership, or to specific kinds of immunity agreements, like Status of Forces Agreements - and not to ones designed specifically to avoid the ICC. Israel’s immunity agreement with Palestine satisfies both narrow approaches to Art. 98. Of course, Art. 98 goes to the surrender of suspects, not admissibility. But it would seem unwise for the Court to proceed with a case where it cannot legally demand the surrender of people from either of the states involved.

D.  Monetary Gold Principle

Adjudication by international tribunals, including the ICC, depends
fundamentally on state consent. As a result, the ICJ held in the influential
Monetary Gold case that it could not determine the legal rights and duties of
a state that was not party to the case and that had not given its consent.45
Thus where the decision of a case necessarily requires the adjudication of
the legal interests of a non-consenting state, the Court cannot exercise
jurisdiction. This principle extends beyond the ICJ; other international
tribunals have treated the principle as part of the general international law
applicable to international tribunals:

[T]he consent principle applies to the ICC as it does to other international
Tribunals. Were the ICC to make judicial determinations on the
legal responsibilities of nonconsenting States with respect to the use
of force and aggression, this would violate the Monetary Gold
principle.46

Not all or even most ICC cases involving nationals of non-member
states would implicate the Monetary Gold rule. The ICC determines the
legal responsibilities of individuals; states are not parties at all. While state
responsibility may result from the fact of an official committing a crime, the
ICC itself will typically not need to make prior judgments about state

45 Italy v. France, United Kingdom, and United States, ICJ Rep. (1954) at 19.
46 See Dapo Akande, Prosecuting Aggression: The Consent Problem and the Role of the Security Council, Oxford Institute for Ethics, Law and Armed Conflict Working Ppaer, at 26 (May 2010).







16                                  SETTLEMENTS IN THE ICC                  [22-May-13
responsibility  to  convict  a  defendant.47                  Yet  sometimes  the  ICC’s
jurisdiction would run afoul of the state-consent principle. Dapo Akande
has suggested that prosecuting non-member nationals for aggression would
be such a situation, since for an individual to be guilty requires a prior
determination that the state is an aggressor.48 This would also be the case
where underlying international borders between a member and its non-
member neighbor are undetermined. To exercise jurisdiction, the Court
necessarily must decide on the borders of Palestine, which simultaneously
determines the borders of
Israel, a non-member. In order to reach the issue
of individual liability, the Court must first draw the borders of a non-
consenting state - as clear a violation of the Monetary Gold principle as one
could imagine.

E.  Line-Drawing

The ICC could not address settlements without determining the borders
of Israel and Palestine. This would involve the Court in many thorny
delineation issues, each with massive geopolitical implications. The Israel-
Jordanian Armistice line (known colloquially as the Green Line), while a
focal point for political negotiations, does not serve as a border. Indeed, the
very terms of the instrument delineating the 1949 armistice line makes clear
that it has no bearing on “territorial settlements or boundary lines.”

Tithe  proverbial  peace  deal  whose  parameters           “everyone  knows”
involves  Israel leaving much of the West Bank,  yet retaining many settlement blocs. Yet this is not typically framed as involving a cession already sovereign Palestinian territory (and certainly such a framing would reduce the likelihood of a deal’s acceptance by the Palestinians). Similarly, one reason Israel has not annexed the West Bank is to retain domestic political flexibility on withdrawal.

One might suggest that the lack of defined borders does not mean that
Palestinian territory is entirely undefined. For Palestine to be a state, it must
have some defined territory - and this might include Ramallah, Jenin, and
other major population centers. Thus one might think the line-drawing
problems insignificant, and the lack of a clear border a technical point that
should not defeat jurisdiction. Yet the great majority of alleged “deportation
or transfer” violations take place into communities within a few miles of the
Green Line. The most contentious locations - Jerusalem and the E1 area of
Maaleh Adumim - are often within a kilometer or less of the Armistice

47 Akande, Nationals of Non-Parties, supra, at 637.
48 See Akande, Prosecuting Aggression, supra, at 26, 35.







22-May-13]                                                                                                   17
Line.     (Moreover, all Israeli settlements are within territory, designated
“Area C” in Palestinian-Israeli agreements, where Israel has been given exclusive control pending a final negotiated deal.)
Again, the 1949 Israel-Jordanian Armistice line is not a border and has
never been designated as such by U.N. agencies.49 Yet if the ICC was
tempted to use this well-known line as a proxy border, it would find itself
embroiled in numerous exceedingly thorny line-drawing problems that arise
from the fact that the Green Line did not act or function as a border.

1.  No-man’s Land.
The  simplest  illustration  of  the  Green  Line’s  non-suitability  for
boundary determinations is the existence of significant pockets of no-man’s
land, especially near important locations.50 The DMZs lie in central and
strategic areas, including the relatively large Latrun salient on which the
main  Jerusalem-Tel  Aviv  highway  lies,  and  several  key  areas  in
Jerusalem.51 There, the Armistice Line is not a line at all, but rather two
parallel lines, 1-3 kilometers apart, with a “no man’s land” between them.52
Such zones make sense for armistice lines, to keep two opposing armies
disengaged. Indeed, many of the most controversial “settlements” in the
Jerusalem municipality lie in the narrow strip of no-man’s land, rather than
on Jordanian-occupied territory. This includes many of those most loudly
decried by the international community as fatal to a two state solution.53.


49 Israel-Jordan Armistice Agreement, U.N. Doc. S/1302/Rev.1Art. VI (8)-(9) (April 3, 1949); see also Art. II(2) (noting that “the provisions of this Agreement being dictated exclusively by military considerations” and thus does not “prejudice the ultimate peaceful settlement of the Palestine question”).
50 RAPHAEL ISRAELI, JERUSALEM DIVIDED: THE ARMISTICE REGIME, 1947-1967 (2002)
61-63.
51 See ISRAELI MINISTRY OF FOREIGN AFFAIRS, ISRAELS STORY IN MAPS: ISRAELS
CHANGING BORDERS at 16, 19; DAVID NEWMAN. BOUNDARIES IN FLUX: THE GREEN LINE
BOUNDARY BETWEEN ISRAEL AND THE WEST BANK - PAST, PRESENT & FUTURE 15-16
(1995).
52 Each line was drawn on a map in an informal meeting by an Israeli and Jordanian officer respectively, to illustrate the positions of their forces. See Michael Dumper, The Politics of Jerusalem Since 1967 31-33.
53 These include at least parts of the Ramot and Ramat Shlomo neighborhoods in northern Jerusalem. See Piggy Cidor, Political Construction?, JERUSALEM POST 8 (April 30, 2010). Israel’s construction plans prompted a famous flap with Vice President Biden in 2010, and Palestine’s threat’s to turn to the ICC after the statehood resolution. See Harriet Sherwood, UN security council's EU members to condemn Israeli settlements expansion, THE GUARDIAN (Dec. 19, 2012); Ethan Bronner, As Biden Visits, Israel Unveils Plan for New Settlements, NY TIMES A4 (March 10, 2010).







18                                  SETTLEMENTS IN THE ICC                  [22-May-13
Palestine considers all of the no-man’s lands and DMZ to be part of its
territory, and calls the Israeli presence in these areas illegal settlements on
their  territory,  and  they  are  generally  described  as  such  in  popular
accounts.54 Yet as a legal matter, it would be exceedingly difficult to
conclude that “no man’s land” - which under the armistice agreement was
left unpopulated - is included in “the territory of Palestine.”55 On the other
hand, if the ICC found that it had no jurisdiction over these areas, it would
give a virtual carte blanche to Israel construction in these areas, which from
a diplomatic perspective would have the same effect as settlement in
“Palestinian” territory. Thus if the ICC takes Palestine’s territory to be that
territory formerly occupied by Jordan, it effectively immunizes Israeli
settlements in sensitive areas.

2.  West Jerusalem & Mt. Scopus.

The 1949 Armistice Agreement included the area around the Hebrew University on Mount Scopus as an Israeli enclave within Jordanian held territory. The area extends well beyond the university,56 and a linked demilitarized zone ran along the Mount of Olives ridge. The Mt. Scopus enclave also contained what is now large Arab neighborhood that peace plans tend to incorporate in a Palestinian Jerusalem.57 Despite its not being under Jordanian control before 1967, Israel has chosen to largely not allow Jewish building in this Arab neighborhood, and any Israeli presence there would surely be denounced as “settlement.”

It would be hard to contend that the Mount Scopus area is part of
Palestinian territory.58 Yet an ICC determination that it was not could

54  http://peacenow.org.il/eng/content/beit-orot-tsawane.  The  European  Union  has  also
classified towns in the central no-man’s land as settlements. Barak Ravid,
Israeli officials
bemoan EU’s marking of parts of Modi’in as settlement, Haaretz.com, (Aug. 14, 2012).
55 David Makovsky, Mapping Mideast Peace, NY Times (Sept. 11, 2012), available at
http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2011/09/12/opinion/mapping-mideast-
peace.html#nytg-optionsBox (treating No-Man’s Land as different from the rest of the
West Bank for purposes of proposed territorial parameters for peace deal because it was
“not sovereign soil”).
56  See Israel-Jordan Agreement on demilitarization of Mt. Scopus Area (July 7, 1948),
U.N. Doc. S/3015 (May 23 1953), Art. 1-2 (describing area under                     “United Nations
protection”  as  including     “Hadassah  HospitalHebrew  University,  Augusta  Victoria
[hospital] and the Arab village of Issawyia”, as well as delineating an adjacent “no-man’s-
land”
57 ISRAELI, JERUSALEM DIVIDED at 66, 71-73 (describing conflict between Israeli presence on Mt. Scopus and Issawiya residents).
58 After the Armistice, Jordan did contend Mt. Scopus was Jordanian territory to which
Israel was merely entitled access, and even proposed that “these points be decided by a







22-May-13]                                                                                                   19
remove any inhibition Israel felt about allowing Jewish settlement there.
The consequences of such settlement would no doubt be seen as similar
counterproductive to development of the nearby E1 area, on the other side
of the Green Line. In short, turning the settlements issue into a criminal case
would only encourage Israel to turn its residential construction plans in the
Jerusalem area to these areas rather than the entirely Jewish neighborhoods
where they currently build.

Yet there would be no way the ICC could avoid determining the status
of these territories. If it found jurisdiction over settlements in no-man’s land
and demilitarized zones, it would effectively be awarding these territories to
Palestine. If it found no jurisdiction, it would essentially award them to
Israel, or at least immunize Israel from legal sanction for settlement in these
areas. Given that the no man’s lands in the southeast Jerusalem are of
significant size, but largely undeveloped by Israel, if Israel were to open
these areas to settlement, the international community would certainly
condemn it.

One might argue that the no-man’s lands and Jerusalem problems are
peripheral; the ICC could at least take jurisdiction of settlement elsewhere.
Yet these are significant not simply because of the territorial disputes they
raise, but because they illustrate that the Armistice Line was not a border,
and cannot be assumed to be the border of the Palestinian state. All
references to it serving a baseline for boundary discussions refer to a
peaceful settlement of all issues, including refugees, suggesting the border
issue cannot be decided by itself.
3.  Western Jerusalem.

Just as Palestine has no clear borders, Israel has no clear borders. Before
1967, few nations recognized Israel’s sovereignty over territory beyond that
suggested for Jewish sovereignty by the 1947 G.A. Partition proposal. That
seems to have changed in the ensuing decades, with most nations apparently
recognizing Israel sovereignty largely within the 1949 Armistice Lines. Yet
there remains a major exception to this. The General Assembly and the
Security Council have all denounced or declared invalid Israel’s control
even of Western Jerusalem. No nation in the world officially recognizes
Western (pre-1967) Jerusalem as Israeli territory. Thus if the ICC adopts the
“Armistice Line” position in a demarcation, it would be endorsing a

competent judicial tribunal” such as the ICJ.   See MAAN ABU NOWAR, THE JORDANIAN-
I
SRAELI WAR 1948-1951: A HISTORY OF THE HASHEMITE KINGDOM OF JORDAN (2003)
387-89.







20                                  SETTLEMENTS IN THE ICC                  [22-May-13
position on Israel’s presence in Western Jerusalem that no government has
been willing to take, even Israel’s greatest allies.59 If it takes the position,
following every nation of the world, that Western Jerusalem is not Israeli
because it was intended to be part of an extraterritorial Corpus Separatum
for Jerusalem, than by the same token Eastern Jerusalem could not be
Palestinian sovereign territory - and thus settlements there fall outside ICC
jurisdiction. This highlights the extraordinary complexity and unintended
collateral consequences of any border delineation effort, and how far it lies
from the ICC’s mandate.
It may be objected that if undefined territory bars admissibility, it would
exclude many nations from ICC jurisdiction Border disputes are particularly
common for newly formed states. A large portion of the world’s nations are
involved in territorial disputes, but most are peripheral.60 The largest
portion of the world’s territorial disputes by far is in Asia61 - which also has
by far the lowest ICC membership of any region in the world.
However, it is a requirement of statehood to have some defined
territory. The difficulty with the admissibility of the Israeli settlements issue
the 100% overlap between the location of the alleged crime and the most
disputed portions of the territory (Area C, and the actual settlement sites
themselves).   Moreover, recognition of Palestinian statehood by the G.A.
may have been an exceptional move not based on Montevideo criteria, in
which case the problem here would have broad application.

II. GRAVITY & SEVERITY

Under the Rome Statute, a case is inadmissible when it “is not of
sufficient gravity to justify further action by the Court.”62 The concept of
gravity is one of the great mysterious aspects of the Statute. Neither the
statute, nor the travaux preparatoires explain what considerations are
relevant to gravity. The question is necessarily a difficult one, because the
crimes within the Court’s jurisdiction are by definition “the most serious
crimes of concern to the international community as a whole.”63 Thus the

59 Cf. Zivotofsky v. Clinton, 566 U.S. __ (2012) (holding that law requiring printing “Israel” as country of birth on passports of those born in Jerusalem, against wishes of President, does not raise a non-justiciable political question).
60 KRISTA  EILEEN  WIEGAND, ENDURING  TERRITORIAL  DISPUTES: STRATEGIES  OF
BARGAINING,  COERCIVE  DIPLOMACY,  AND  SETTLEMENT     86-89    (2011)     (finding   71
currentterritorial disputes in the world, including 40% of the world’s nations, but with only
21 of them involving inhabited territory, and a full 40% concerning uninhabited islands)
61 Id. at 90.
62 Art. 17(1)(d).
63 Art. 5(1).







22-May-13]                                                                                                   21
gravity requirement may further limit jurisdiction to the worst violations of the worst crimes. Thus far the Court has focused almost exclusively on what would be characterized as mass atrocities by any standard, and thus the definition of gravity has remained ambiguous.
Yet there are several explicit sources of guidance about the general
criteria for evaluating gravity. First, the Prosecutor has formulated express
criteria of gravity to guide its otherwise very discretionary determinations.
Second, the Statute mentions gravity in two other relevant contexts that can
inform the admissibility criteria. Finally, general principles of law and
international criminal law establish some framework considerations. Under
all these tests, the settlements appear to fail to meet the standard. At the
very least, admitting a settlements case would require setting an extremely
low and flexible gravity bar.

A.    The Prosecutor’s Quantitative Test

The Prosecutor has said that the primary criterion is the “number of
victims,” particularly the number of slain.64    Generally, this approach
measures gravity by the number of victims of violence, including injured,
raped, and tortured.65 Thus the Prosecutor has refused to proceed with a
case involving twelve unlawful killings by British soldiers in Iraq because it
was “of a different order” from the typical case that involves at least
thousands of slain or injured. Other qualitative factors also come into play,
such as the systematic nature of the crime, but this does not appear to
supplant  objective  quantitative  gravity.  Notably,  all  of  the  gravity
determinations involve aggregating bodily violence and coercion. Never has
a crime that does not result in death or serious physical injury, implemented
through large-scale violence, been held to satisfy the gravity criteria.
Proceeding with a settlements investigation would constitute a massive
departure from the OTP’s past practice. As one commentator describes it:
[T]he number of victims is the only factor that has played a
significant role in the OTP’s situational gravity determinations - an
emphasis that it has defended on three different grounds.   First, the
OPT  argues  that  its  limited  investigative  resources  require
prioritizing situations involving mass atrocity. Second, the OTP
believes that the international community is more likely to view

64  Luis Moreno-Ocampo,  Integrating  the  Work  of  the  ICC  into  Local  Justice Initiatives, 21 Am. U. Int'l L. Rev. 497, 4988 (2006).
65 See ICC OTP, Draft Policy Paper on Preliminary Examinations at 13-14 (Oct. 4,
2010
).







22                                  SETTLEMENTS IN THE ICC                  [22-May-13
investigations of situations involving large numbers of victims as
legitimate. And third, the OTP points out that the number of victims
tends to be reliably reported, making it a relatively objective
factor.66
Aside from the quantitative scale of a particular crime, there is an
implicit hierarchy of types of crime in international criminal law,67 which
reflects broader trends throughout criminal law. Crimes involving murder
are the most serious, followed by sexual violence, and those involving
torture or extreme physical or psychological suffering. Somewhere after
these may fall crimes involving deprivation of liberty or endangerment,
such as the forcible conscription or use of child soldiers. Crimes against
property “rank at the low end of the gravity spectrum.”68  The Court’s
docket this far has focused only at the high end of this spectrum, with all
investigated situations involving “hundreds or thousands of the gravest
forms of crimes (such as murder or sexual violence).”69
The settlements crime is of different nature. It is not one of murder or
direct physical violence. Indeed, it is not even a property crime in the
conventional sense (though its commission may involve property crimes, it
need not do so). It falls entirely outside the murder - property crime
continuum, protecting more intangible interests.70 Indeed, it could be said
the crime has no individual victims; if anything, it guards the protected
population’s “separate  existence  as  a  race.”71  The  Palestinians  have
flourished as a people with a distinct identity since the establishment of the
settlements. Their population has grown dramatically in parallel with
settlement growth, tripling since 1967. And while historians argue whether
Palestinian national identity antedates the Six Day War,72 it is clear that the

66 Kevin Jon Heller, Situational Gravity Under the Rome Statute, in CARSTEN STAHN & LARISSA VAN DEN HERIK (EDS.), FUTURE DIRECTIONS IN INTERNATIONAL CRIMINAL JUSTICE (2009).
67 Though the statutes of international criminal tribunals do not make any explicit
distinction in the severity of the various crimes within their jurisdiction, the sentencing
practice of the ICTY and ICTR does reveal an implicit hierarchy with genocide at the top
and war crimes at the bottom. Presumably, non-grave breaches would be at the bottom of
the bottom.
68 See Margaret de Guzman, Gravity and the Legitimacy of the International Criminal Court32 Ford. Int’l L. J. 1400, 1452 (2009).
69 ROBERT CRYER, ET AL., AN INTRODUCTION TO INTERNATIONAL CRIMINAL LAW AND PROCEDURE 160 (2007).
70 Id. at 308 (noting the transfer prohibition does “not originate in classic concerns of
… protection of persons and property affiliated with the ‘other side’” and protects different values from those of all other war crimes).
71 See ICRC Commentary.
72 Compare, RASHID KHALIDI, PALESTINIAN IDENTITY: THE CONSTRUCTION OF MODERN







22-May-13]                                                                                                   23
subsequent decades have resulted in a crystallization and unprecedented invigoration of Palestinian nationhood.73
If the Palestinian authorities join the Court or accept ad hoc jurisdiction,
the Court would only be able to consider Israeli civilian migration into the
occupied territories from the date of the acceptance, or at best, the date of its
recognition as state by the GA.74  Thus the “gravity” question would not
encompass the entire Jewish civilian presence the disputed territories, or
what critics call the “settlement enterprise.” The only “deportation or
transfer” that would count towards the gravity of the crime would be those
subsequent to the effective date of jurisdiction.75 This makes both a
quantitative and qualitative impact. How many Jewish civilians need to
move to constitute an offense on par with others the Prosecutor has
proceeded with? The prosecutor would have to establish some quantitative
threshold.
To be sure, some commentators have argued for a broader inquiry, one
which might take into account the “social alarm” caused by an alleged
crime. This refers to the level of concern of the international community.76
The explicit purpose of such qualitative factors is to make it easier to take
jurisdiction of crimes committed by Western nations - and certainly Israel’s
settlements would be perhaps the easiest case under a social alarm test.
Indeed, it may be the most socially alarming crime there is. Yet the
subjective nature of such an inquiry has been sharply criticized by other
commentators,77 and it would indeed further open to ICC to charges of
politicized prosecution, of being driven by a kind of international mob
mentality. Finally, in one case where the Pre-Trial Chamber cited “social
alarm” as a gravity factor,78 the Appeals Chamber reversed, holding that “it


NATIONAL  CONSCIOUSNESS  18    (2009),  with EPHRAIM  KARSH, PALESTINE  BETRAYED
(2011).
73
Palestine, ENCYCLOPEDIA BRITANNICA (“[A]fter 1948—and even more so after
1967—for Palestinians themselves the term came to signify not only a place of origin but,
more importantly, a sense of a shared past and future in the form of a Palestinian state.”)
       
74 See Part III, discussing temporal jurisdiction.
75 Some have argued that transfer may constitute a continuing crime. However, the
actus reus is clearly the actual transfer, and the Rome Statute does not allow for liability
for acts prior to its going into effect. The notion of a continuing offense is belied by the
failure to require any removal of settlers in any of the several international peace plan
dealing with such situations elsewhere, such as
Cyprus, Morocco, and East Timor.
76 See Heller, supra.
77 See, e.g., Mark Osiel, How Should the ICC Office of the Prosecutor Choose its Cases? The Multiple Meanings of Situational Gravity, Hague Justice Portal at 4-5 (2009); Mohamed M. El Zeidy, The Gravity Threshold Under the Statute of the International Criminal Court, 19 CRIM. L. FORUM 35, 45 (2008)
78 The Pre-Trial Chamber did not seem to refer the overall level of international
concern about the particular situation; rather, they meant the type of conduct
(child







24                                  SETTLEMENTS IN THE ICC                  [22-May-13
is not a consideration that is necessarily appropriate for the determination of admissibility.”79

B.  Victimless Crime?
Leaving aside absence of dead or wounded, a secondary measure of
gravity is the number of victims.   This raises the question of how one
calculates “victims” of a settlement. For all international crimes, the
international legal order is in a sense a victim, and for crimes against
particular groups, that group is in an abstract sense a victim. This more
general aspect of injury is what gives the crimes an international public
character. But this is not what is meant by “victims” in the ICC context.
While an injury may be collective, it must also be “personal” to create a
victim.80
The ICC statute specifically identifies “victims” as a distinct legal status
that comes with various defined rights within the ICC system, such as
participation  in  the  proceedings  and  restitution.81  The  Rules  of  the
Procedure and Evidence provide the definition of “victim” as “natural
persons who have suffered harm as a result of any crime within the
jurisdiction of the Court.”82 This definition has two major elements: a
notion of “harm,” with a demonstrable “causal link” to the crime. “Harm,”
as interpreted by the PTC in light of international human rights instruments
and  standards  means  encompasses  both  physical,  property  and
psychological injuries (such as that caused by seeing family members be
tortured or witnessing other violent events).83   But the alleged injury must
be “personal” one  as opposed to purely collective. The casual link requires
that the harm must have is the “consequence and result” of the commission
of the crime.84
“Deportation or transfer” of the occupying power’s civilians poses an
obvious challenge for the classic conception of victim. It is not done to

soldiers) was a worldwide phenomenon that thus caused general concern. While “transfer” takes place in other countries as well, it does not seem to create the same social concern outside of the Israel/Arab conflict.
79 Prosecutor v. Lubanga, Judgment on Prosecutor’s Appeal Against the Decision of
Pre-Trial Chamber I Entitled “Decision on the Prosecutor’s Application for a Warrant of Arrest, Article 58,” ICC-01/04, para. 72 (July 13, 2006).
80 Appeals Chamber, Lubango, Par. 34-35 (July 11, 2008), Decision on Victim’s Participation.
81 Elisabeth Baumgartner, Aspects of victim participation in the proceedings of the
International Criminal Court, 90 Int. Rev. Red Cross 409 (2008).
       
82 Rule 85(a).
83 Baumgartner at 421.
84  Fourth  Decision  on  Victims’  Participation,  Par.                74-78     (Dec.    12,    2008).
http://www2.icc-cpi.int/iccdocs/JUDSUMM/JSV_ICC_0105_0108_320.pdf.







22-May-13]                                                                                                   25
particular protected persons or their property.85 Indeed, commentators
acknowledge that 49(6) protects a different sort of interest from other
protections for the person and property of protected persons. As the
Commentaries make clear, Art. 49(6) protects the occupied people as a
“population” or as “separate… race.” Such interests are entirely collective,
and not personal.86   Taking the case of residential construction within
existing Jewish neighborhoods, or without expropriation from Palestinian
private owners, it would be difficult to demonstrate economic harm to
particular Palestinians.87 Indeed, it would be hard to demonstrate that the
protected  persons  would  have  known  about  the  new “transfers”  to
established population centers if it were not for news accounts. Again, this is not to say the “deportation or transfer” does not injure the “protected persons;” rather, it does not injure them in the personal and identifiable way that creates individual (and thus quantifiable) “victims.”
Moreover, the vast majority of “settlement activity” over which the
Palestinians complain takes place both within a mile or so of the “Green
Line,” and in large Israeli communities. Thus there is no danger of a change
in the demographic character of the occupied territory from these alleged
“transfers.” While the conventional view is that the anti-transfer norm is not
limited to efforts at changing the demographic character of an area, surely
the underlying purpose of the norm is an important factor for the fuzzier
gravity determination.
Indeed, the purpose for much of the construction in Jerusalem is
manifestly to reduce high density and housing prices by building in direct
continuity with non-occupied territories. Again, I assume here that this does
not preclude international wrongfulness, but it may be quite relevant to the
issue of gravity.
C.  Gravity Elsewhere in the Statute
While the statute does not define “gravity” for purposes of admissibility,


85 Any particular “transfer” may involve an expropriation of property, which could be a separate offense, but it certainly need not do so.
86 In some circumstances, individual Palestinians could claim economic harm from
settlement construction, such as difficulty of access to agricultural lands. Yet for settlement
growth within their existing municipal boundaries, or in densely Jewish “settlement blocs,”
it would be hard to demonstrate that an increase in their population has any direct effect
upon individual Palestinians (regardless of the more general affect on “prospects for
peace”)
87 To the extent that an allegation of expropriation or economic harm is involved, that
aspect of the alleged crime could be inadmissible on complementarity grounds, as Israeli
courts routinely entertain and grant relief to Palestinians claiming infringement of their
property rights.







26                                  SETTLEMENTS IN THE ICC                  [22-May-13
it does use the same term in two other contexts. These apparently refer to
the  same  concept,  and  should  be  read  to  inform  the  Art. 17(1)
determination. First, in the definition of war crimes, it borrows the Geneva Convention’s distinction between grave and non-grave breaches. Second, gravity is a factor in sentencing. Thus aggravating factors in sentencing can help inform the initial jurisdictional determination.

1.  Grave breaches.
The  Statute’s  definition  of  war  crimes  continues  the  Geneva
Convention’s distinction between “grave breaches” and other, less severe
violations.88  Non-grave  breaches  have  traditionally  been  thought  less
objectively  atrocious,  certainly  of  less  international  concern:  the
Convention’s extradite-or-punish rule does not apply to non-grave breaches.
Art. 49(6), the deport-or-transfer provision, is not a grave breach, and is not
treated as such by the Rome Statute.89 This obviously does not mean non-
grave breaches fail the Art. 17(1) test of gravity; otherwise there would be
no point including them as crimes. However, it does mean that these
offenses are already at the low end of the gravity spectrum, which combined
with the lack of physical violence and direct victims should be decisive.
2.  Sentences
The gravity of the crime is not just a factor for admissibility, it is a
sentencing consideration.90 Thus, gravity is a spectrum, at one point on
which jurisdiction is satisfied, with sentences increasing as one proceeds
further on the spectrum. But sentencing considerations can help show the
nature of the spectrum. To put it differently, if sentencing considerations
suggest the gravity of the crime - in proportion to other crimes - requires a
sentence of zero years, then the crime should be thought to fail the
admissibility test.
Only one defendant has been sentences thus far, Thomas Lubanga, but
the Court’s sentencing decision can help illustrate the relevant factors. In
explaining its sentence, the Court noted several factors that contributed to
the “gravity” of the crime of conscripting child soldiers (as young as 8) for
active participation  in hostilities. First,  the crime involves  physically
coercing the subject. By definition, the purported crime “deportation or
transfer” into occupied territory is not forcible, in contrast to the explicitly
forcible transfer of protected persons within occupied territory which

88  See  Art.      8(a)  &     (b)   (distinguishing   “grave  breaches”  from     “other  serious
violations”).
89 Art. 8(2)(b)(viii).
90 See Art. 78(1). The statute does not specify the components of gravity in the sentencing context.







22-May-13]                                                                                                   27
constitutes a grave breach. Moreover, conscription put the young children in
grave danger of violent death or injury.   Finally, the court noted that the
conscription was geographically “widespread” in the conflict. Again, Israeli
“settlements” occupy less than 2% of the maximum claimed territory of
Palestine
, and the vast majority of the settlers live in extreme proximity to
the Green line. It is not clear that this would constitute “widespread,”
especially if future settlement activity was focused on the settlement blocs, which almost by definition are not “widespread.”
D.  The Paradox of Gravity

Perhaps the gravity argument proves too much. If settlements, because
of their lack of death, violence, and absence of individual victims, do not
constitute a particularly “grave” crime, it would effectively read the Article
8(b)(vii) out of the Statute. No deportation or transfer would ever qualify
because they by definition do not involve killing or other physical violence,
and lack direct victims. Presumably, under some circumstances the crime
should be cognizable. The first response would be to note that while making
the provision nugatory is theoretically problematic, reading it to have a
narrow application is entirely consistent with the practice of international
criminal tribunals. Never has anyone been prosecuted for this offense; thus
such crimes are obviously treated as less important that more typical war
crimes.
More substantively, one might, as one Judge of the Appeals Chamber
has suggested, characterize a crime as sufficiently becomes grave when it
threatens the policies behind its criminalization.91 For violent crimes, it is
obviously protecting the life or body of the victim. Yet for transfer, a more
inchoate crime, the injury to be prevented is, according to the official
commentary was preventing a worsening of the “native population’s”
economic conditions and threatening its “separate existence… as a race.”92
This might be the case where the transferred population constitutes a
majority in the occupied territory. Such “demographic busting” transfers are
in fact not uncommon - examples might include Northern Cyrus, East
Timor, the Western Sahara, and, more controversially, the Baltics and
Tibet.93 Yet settlers make up only 15% of the percentage of the population

91 Situational Gravity in the Democratic Republic of Congo (ICC-o1/04), Separate and
partially dissenting opinion of Judge Pikis par. 40 (July 13, 2006) (suggesting a very low
gravity threshold, but noting that crime may fail to satisfy the gravity criteria when its
commission   does   not   threaten   the “objects   of   the   law   criminalizing
the conduct”).
92 IV COMMENTARY ON THE GENEVA CONVENTIONS OF 12 AUGUST 1949 at 281
(1958).
93 There is no doubt that China has carried out a massive program of resettlement to







28                                  SETTLEMENTS IN THE ICC                  [22-May-13
of Palestinian territory (and zero percent of the territory of Gaza and Areas
A & B). And as noted above, the Palestinian’s “existence as a race” - a term
that sounds somewhat anachronistic now - has only become stronger since
the beginning of Israeli settlement.94 The economic injury is even more
clearly absent; the Palestinian territories have seen considerable economic
growth since 1967, outpacing neighboring many states and certainly their
prior rate of growth.95
Second, one might also suggest that stand-alone claims of 8(b)(viii)
violations might indeed be quite unusual and difficult to make. Transfer of
an occupying power’s population into a territory is often, and perhaps
usually, accompanied with a concomitant expulsion of protected persons (as
in  CyprusGeorgia,  Nagorno-Karabakh,  and  elsewhere).  Thus  other
violations of the Geneva Art. 49 norm might be relevant to the gravity of
violations of subsection 6. In the Lubanga sentencing, the Court made it
clear that particular crimes were magnified in their gravity by their
commission alongside other crimes, or as a means of committing other
crimes. Indeed, the fact that the novel crime of transfer into occupied
territory was made part of Art. 49 suggests the drafters understood these as
being two sides of a common process.96

E.  Relative Gravity
The gravity of Israel’s settlements can also be considered in relation to
the  magnitude  of  other  arguable “deportation  or  transfer”  violations
elsewhere in the world. Indeed, there are at least two ICC member states
currently suffering from occupation and potential violations of “deportation
and transfer” by non-member states - Cyprus and Georgia, occupied in part
by Turkey and Russia, respectively. Turkish settlement in Cyprus is

weaken Tibetan ethnicity; the question is whether Tibet is occupied territory.
       
94 See text at nn. 86-89, supra.
95 See INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND, THE WEST BANK AND GAZA: ECONOMIC
PERFORMANCE, PROSPECTS, AND POLICIES: ACHIEVING PROSPERITY AND CONFRONTING
DEMOGRAPHIC CHALLENGES 20-23 (2001) (finding average 6% per annum GDP growth in
Gaza and West Bank under Israeli control); ARIE ARNON, ET. AL. THE PALESTINIAN
ECONOMY: BETWEEN IMPOSED INTEGRATION AND VOLUNTARY SEPARATION 20-23 (1997)
(noting that in first three decades after Six Day War, Palestinian economy grew faster than
Israel’s).
96 This differs from Oppenheim’s argument that a violation of 49(6) only occurs when the transfer displaces protected persons, which has been widely criticized. See Hebert Hansell memo. Oppenheim’s legal conclusion was premised on the factual observation that Art. 49 violations tend to go together. One need not agree with the legal conclusion that 49(6) violations cannot exist simplicter to recognize that the fact that they often arise alongside Art. 49(1) violations means that the gravity argument suggested here would not effectively read the settlements crime out of the ICC.







22-May-13]                                                                                                   29
apparently of great magnitude.
First, how does one measure the scale of               “transfer?” There is no
precedent on this question, but the policies behind the norm suggest that the
number of transferees relative to the size of the target population would be
the right measure, rather the absolute number.    Otherwise, if 1000 people
are transferred into a territory of 500, it would be considered de minimis,
whereas if 1 million were transferred into a territory of 100 million, it
would be a big deal.
Turkish settlers constitute an absolute majority in Northern Cyprus (and by many accounts the prior Turkish population is not so happy about the new arrivals). By contrast, Israeli civilians in the West Bank (not including Gaza) are under 20% of the total population, if you include E. Jerusalem (and follow Palestinian population figures). Throw in Gaza,  and the percentage drops considerably.
The total population of the island of Cyprus is 1.1 million. Turkish settlers constitute over 13% of the population of the island. In the unlikely event of reunification, the Greeks see this as a bitter pill. Population statistics for the Palestinians are also greatly in the dispute, but if one estimates the total population between the river and sea at 11 million, the Jews across the Green Line would be about 5% of the total. Given that Israel has had more time to cement its hold, and its settlers do not need to be transported across a body of water, one might conclude this a much less intensive and invasive “deportation or transfer.”
In the same vein, in Northern Cyprus, the influx of settlers has been
accompanied by the collapse of the local population, i.e. significant net
emigration. That exacerbates the demographic effect of transfer, and is part
of the classic “move in, kick out” model where 49(6) violations helped
effectuate de facto 49(1) breaches. In the West Bank, by contrast, the
population of protected persons has grown rapidly under occupation.
It would be difficult (though surely not impossible) for the ICC to take
jurisdiction of a suit involving Israeli settlements, without opening the door
for an easy and direct Cypriot referral of Turkey (and in that situation, there
are no trick problems of territoriality, with the land in question clearly
falling under Cyprus’s sovereignty before the Turkish invasion). Moreover,
aside from alleged transfers in ICC member state territory, one might
consider the Moroccan conduct in occupied Western Sahara, where again,
an absolute majority of the current inhabitants are Moroccan settlers who
have come since the take-over of the territory in 1975.97 This may be of
particular relevance to the ICC, as Western Sahara is now also considering

97 See, generally, Jacob Mundy, Moroccan Settlers in Western Sahara: Colonists or Fifth Column? 15 ARAB WORLD GEOGRAPHER 95 (2012).







30                                  SETTLEMENTS IN THE ICC                  [22-May-13
emulating the Palestinian turn to the G.A. for non-member state status.98 All of these examples suggest that if there is a gravity scale of settlement, Israel’s policies do not put it at the top of the world’s violators.

III. THE TEMPORALITY OF PALESTINE

In addition to geographic limits, the Court can only deal with crimes committed with in its temporal jurisdiction, which runs from when the treaty went into effect for the relevant member state.99 The prospectivity requirement is consistent with and complementary to the Court’s not exercising universal jurisdiction, and with the principle of nulla crimen son lege.100 Yet some have argued that there is a loophole by which the Court can  exercise  jurisdiction  over  Palestine  retroactively,  perhaps  even backdated to the establishment of the Court in 2002.101
There are two ways a state can accept the Court’s jurisdiction: by
becoming a member, which is a blanket acceptance, or by making a
“declaration” pursuant to Art. 12(3) to “accept the exercise of jurisdiction
by the Court with respect to the crime in question.” The declaration
provision interacts with the temporal jurisdiction provision of Art. 11,
which provides that “If a State becomes a Party to this Statute after its entry into force, the Court may exercise its jurisdiction only with respect to crimes committed after the entry into force of this Statute for that State, unless that State has made a declaration under article 12, paragraph 3.”102 The language of the provision can be read to exempt 12(3) declarations from the general prospectivity rule.103
However, a stronger and more natural reading holds that Art. 11(b)
addresses temporal jurisdiction, dealing with the most common situation -
that of member states. Indeed, the only purpose of 11(2) is to define
temporal jurisdiction for member states that join subsequent to the Statute’s
entry into force. For those, it states the basic rule: jurisdiction that runs from


98 Reda Shannouf, Western Sahara May Also Request UN Observer Status, Al-
Monitor, available at http://www.al-monitor.com/pulse/politics/2012/12/western-sahara-un-
observer-status.html#ixzz2Lx5hb3Lx.
99 Art. 11.
100 See Art. 22(1) (“A person shall not be criminally responsible under this Statute
unless the conduct in question constitutes, at the time it takes place, a crime within the jurisdiction of the Court.”); see also, Art. 24(1) (barring criminal responsibility for crimes prior to Statute’s entry into force.).
101 See, e.g. David J. Schaeffer, How to Turn the Tide Using the Rome Statute’s Temporal Jurisdiction, 2 J. Int’l Crim. Just. 26, 32 (2004); Kevin Jon Heller, Yes, Palestine Could Accept the ICC’s Jurisdiction Retroactively, OpinioJuris (Nov. 29, 2012).
102 Art. 11(2) (emphasis added).
103 See SCHABAS, INTRODUCTION, supra , at 73







22-May-13]                                                                                                   31
the entry into force for the state. However, there is one exception for the
rule of prospectivity for member states - signaled with the word “unless.”
“Unless” does not introduce a new rule of temporal jurisdiction for 12(3)
declarations; rather, it explains the effect of declaration on subsequent
membership. It makes clear that where there has been a prior 12(3)
declaration by the new member state, jurisdiction can be tolled back to the
declaration,  at  least  with  respect  to  the  relevant  crimes.  Thus  the
membership subsumes and supersedes the prior declaration, in a manner
entirely consistent with nulla crimen sine lege. Indeed, were it not for this
“unless” language in 12(3), one might have thought that the acceptance of
membership destroys jurisdiction created by a prior declaration.
Thus 11(2) says nothing about the temporal jurisdiction created by from
a declaration, but entirely about the jurisdiction arising from membership,
which can be backdated to a prior declaration. This makes clear why the
reference  to  declaration  says “unless”  but  does  not  provide  a  clear
alternative temporal jurisdiction rule for 12(3). Indeed, 11(2)            inconsistent
with the notion of retrospective 12(3) declarations, as it reaffirms that
jurisdiction depends entirely on acceptance of jurisdiction at the time of the
relevant  conduct.104 Such  a  view  is  consistent  with  the  policy  of
encouraging  states  to  become  full  members.  Allowing  retrospective
jurisdiction over non-nationals through declarations would allow states to
opportunistically invoke the jurisdiction of the Court at their convenience,
without assuming the broader obligations of membership. Given the strong
policy of the Statute for full assumption of obligations,105 providing more
flexibility  for  piece-meal  acceptance  of  jurisdiction  would  seem
inconsistent. The clear policy of the Statute, reflected in numerous articles,
is prospectivity on state-by-state level (as opposed to global prospectivity
from the coming into force of the statute) and any departure from that
would need clear textual and policy expression. Indeed, the prospectivity
policy is so strong that nation’s can only withdraw on a year’s notice - to
protect settled expectations of other states, and such withdraw is not
allowed to have any retrospective legal effect.
Further support for the prospective view of declarations comes from the
chapeau of Art. 12(2), which provides that the Court may “exercise its
jurisdiction if … [the relevant States] are Parties to this Statute or have
accepted the jurisdiction of the Court in accordance with paragraph 3.” The
chapeau equates membership with declaration for jurisdictional purposes,
suggesting  an  equivalent,  prospective,  jurisdiction  ratione  temporis.

104 See SCHABAS, INTRODUCTION at 87.
105 See Art. 120 (prohibiting reservations). One might also note that the “transitional
provision” for member states is purely prospective, and limited to particular classes of
crimes.







32                                  SETTLEMENTS IN THE ICC                  [22-May-13
Moreover, the chapeau is in the past tense - it speaks of states that “have” made a declaration at the time the conduct occurred. If declarations are prospective, it should say “have or will.”
The origin and purpose of 12(3) also do not support retrospectivity.
Declarations are made about “the crime in question,” a phrase that has been
understood to refer to a particular “situation” rather than a “crime” in the
sense of the offenses specified in Art. 5.106 The language was taken from an
early draft that envisioned the Court’s jurisdiction to always be ad hoc;
when a “situation” would arise, the states involved could give the Court
power to deal with crimes occurring in that ongoing situation. Yet nothing
about this suggests that the Court can consider prior conduct in that
situation, any more than if a state accepts full membership in the middle of
a “situation.” Rather, it encourages States that involved in “situations” to
promptly issue declarations.
To be sure, the Pre-Trial Chambers has apparently allowed some
retrospective effect with regard to Cote d’Ivoire, the only 12(3) case it has
had so far. Yet the decision is far from conclusive of the issue. The country
had filed a declaration in 2003, and subsequently renewed it in 2010 and
2011. The Prosecutor’s application to the PTC described the time frame
under investigation as being “since 28 Nov. 2010” until “the filing of this
Application” in 2011.107  The PTC’s ruling concluded that the Court has
jurisdiction of all crimes since 2002 on the basis of multiple, updated
declarations. Thus it authorized six months of retrospective jurisdiction
based on the 2003 declaration.108 Yet the opinion had no discussion or
explanation of the retroactive application, which also appears to be dicta,
since  it  predates  the  period  for  which  the  Prosecutor  sought  an
investigation.

In early 2009, the Palestinian government filed a declaration with the
ICC, purporting to accept its jurisdiction over all crimes retroactive to 2002,
as well as prospectively. Art. 12(3) only allows “states” to file declarations.
Since
Palestine was apparently not a state in 2009 for ICJ purposes (to say

106 See SCHABAS, COMMENTARY, at 289 (explaining that provision contemplated
situation where prosecutor would initiate investigation, and then non-member country
would consent via declaration).
107
Situation in the Republic of Cote d’Ivoire, Request for authorisation of an
investigation pursuant to article 15, Par. 40 & 42, ICC-02/11-3 (June 23, 2011).
108 One might think that if the Court authorized jurisdiction over crimes up until the
date of the prosecutor’s application, this would leave slightly under two months between
the last acceptance of jurisdiction by
Cote d’Ivoire on May 3 and the Application on June
23. However, nothing in the PTC’s ruling makes clear which of these closely spaced dates constitutes the endpoint of jurisdiction. Moreover, the Application only referred to events up to early April 2011. See Application, Par. 14.







22-May-13]                                                                                                   33
nothing of      2002), the    2009 Declaration was invalid.    Thus to create
jurisdiction, the Palestinians would have to make a new declaration, which
itself could only be retrospective to when it became a state.
      When did
Palestine become a state for ICC purpoises? To be sure, the
G.A. vote does not mean Palestinian statehood was established on that day;
indeed, it presumably existed before the vote, as the G.A. can only
recognize existing states. Yet if the OTP is determined to be guided by G.A.
determinations on statehood issues, it would look to the G.A. resolution as
the relevant “birthday,” though conception may have taken place earlier.
Indeed, in his speech at the G.A., President Abbas spoke of the resolution as
a “birth certificate” for Palestine. Moreover, the actions of the Palestinian
authorities in the wake of the G.A. vote suggest it was an inflection point.109
At the least, in the non-retrospective view of declarations, they could only
accept jurisdiction from that date.
To  summarize,  if  Palestine  files  either  a  declaration  or  accepts
membership, the Court’s jurisdiction will only run from that date; it would
not have jurisdiction over settlements as a whole. This raises the question of
marginal gravity. While previous Israeli governments may have witnessed
rapid growth of the Jewish population in the West Bank, current growth is a
trickle. Thus any average Israeli government (which lasts around 2 years)
may only coincide with the construction of anywhere from one to three
thousand housing units in the West Bank. This raises even harder questions
for gravity - does the “transfer” of a few thousand people satisfy the gravity
requirements?

CONCLUSION

Discussions of an ICC referral concerning Israel neglect the exceptional
nature of such an investigation. The Court has never approved a referral by
state parties against non-member states; it has never heard cases involving
non-grave breaches of the Geneva Conventions (or any crime not involving
mass atrocity; and has never deal with the “anti-transfer” norm (nor has any
international criminal tribunal); and it has never adjudicated matters where
underlying territorial borders were uncertain. Taking jurisdiction under any
one of these circumstances would be a major move for the Court, with
significant implications for all other nations. Accepting jurisdiction under
the combination of these circumstances would be a massive extension of the


109
For example, all state insignia were relabeled from “Palestinian Authority” to
“State of Palestine.” They did not need the General Assembly’s nod to change their
stationary, and thus their decision to do suggests they did not previously regard themselves
as a state.







34                                  SETTLEMENTS IN THE ICC                  [22-May-13
Court’s authority.
There may be circumstances in which such bold moves are legally warranted or even mandated. However, in the case of Israel, the Court lacks jurisdiction over the alleged war crimes involved in the future growth and maintenance of a civilian Jewish population in the West Bank. The relevant conduct does not arise on Palestinian territory or satisfy the gravity criteria of the Court. Moreover, agreements between Israel and the Palestinian government preclude ICC jurisdiction.

Potential proceedings against Israel also highlight the extent to which
many fundamental parts of the ICC Statute remain vague or undefined. The
ICC has little case law to narrow the meaning of the relevant terms (such as
“territory,” “gravity,” “interests of justice” and “
nullum crimen sine lege”).
Thus it is conceivable that, unconstrained by precedent, the ICC would
aggressively define all the relevant terms and dismiss all uncertainties in
order to accept such a referral. But given the numerous objections to such
jurisdiction, and the unprecedented nature of such a case in international
criminal law, accepting the referral in the face of all objections would raise
serious concerns about the impartiality of the Court, especially on the part
of  other  non-member  state.  An  aggressive,  activist  conception  of
jurisdiction could only deter already balking states from joining the Court,
and thus frustrate the fundamental goal of the ICC. 

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